A big final! Who wins the title? 谁能获得美冠杯冠军?
2022-05-04

Borja

外籍分析师

解读理由:

Ignore the odds shown here as are wrong; Seattle Sounders -0.5 handicap is my bet here.

CONCACAF Final, previous game ended 2:2.

The Seattle Sounders are favorites to win this title. Are one of the TOP teams in the MLS (Top4 I’d say) according to team quality and budget. Achieved this finals thanks to convincing performances at home, whilst playing away their results were so poor. They struggled playing away but playing at home showed their quality. Motagua - 0:0 away; 5-0 at home; Leon (similar team to Pumas) - 3:0 at home, 1-1 away; and New York City where they won 3:1 at home and drew 1:1 away.

They have a great squad, did not play a league game on the weekend so should be fully rested for this game, without important injuries. Started so bad the new season in the MLS (2 wins/ 1draw / 4 defeats) but have a huge potential, as remember that in 2019 won the MLS title, 2020 they played the final (and lost vs Columbus) while in 2021 played the final playoffs and finished 2nd in their conference.

On the other hand, Pumas is a very average Mexican team. Their budget and value is half of the Seattle Sounders, and their players have much less quality.

They had a pretty lucky tournament, where their strong point was in their home games. Against Saprissa drew 2:2 away and won 4:1 at home, while against New England Revolution (worse team than Seattle Sounders) were destroyed in USA 3:0 and Pumas had to make the miracle in the second leg at home, where they won 3:0 and qualified after penalties.

Mexican teams used to dominate this tournament (Monterrey, Tigres, America…), but here the difference between both teams is huge, and Pumas isn’t a top team in Mexico. They had to play a league game on the weekend against leaders Pachuca, where coach Lillini put several regulars and a pretty strong lineup.

Their most valuable player and important defender Alan Monzo (RB) won’t play this game due to an injury.

Previous game ended 2:2, where Pumas were leading 2:0 thanks to an amazing home support and a poor away performance by Seattle. Something we already saw in this tournament: Mexican teams performing so well at home and MLS teams performing so bad. While we also saw the opposite: Mexican teams struggling a lot playing away against MLS teams.

Match will be played in Lumen Field, Seattle’s stadium. The support will be huge for Seattle, and the most important: the turf is sintentic, something that Pumas will have to adapt. As some players like Arturo Ortiz said: “we need to adapt as fast as possible to the pitch, the ball effects and bounces”.

Seattle has a good home advantage and it's a much better team, so for me are favorites to win this match and the title.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

前一场比赛2:2结束。

西雅图海湾队是夺冠热门。根据球队质量和预算,是美国职业足球大联盟(MLS)的顶级球队之一(我认为是前四名)。他们在主场取得了令人信服的表现,在客场取得了很差的成绩。他们在客场打得很挣扎,但在主场的比赛显示了他们的实力。摩塔瓜- 0:0客场;以在家里;里昂(与美洲狮类似):主场3:0,客场1-1;在纽约,他们主场3:1获胜,客场1:1战平。

他们有一支伟大的球队,周末没有打联赛,所以应该在这场比赛中充分休息,没有重大伤病。开始那么糟糕的新赛季美国职业足球大联盟(2胜1平/ 4负)但是有巨大潜力,记住2019年夺得了美国职业足球大联盟的冠军,2020年他们最后,失去了与哥伦布在2021玩最后一个季后赛,完成了第二次会议。

另一方面,美洲狮是一支非常普通的墨西哥球队。他们的预算和价值只有西雅图海湾人的一半,而他们的球员质量要差得多。

他们打了一场很幸运的比赛,他们的强项在主场。对萨帕利萨的比赛2:2战平,在主场4:1获胜,而对新英格兰革命队(比西雅图海湾队更差)的比赛在美国3:0被摧毁,彪马不得不在主场第二回合创造奇迹,他们3:0获胜,并在点球后晋级。

墨西哥队曾经称霸过这项赛事(蒙特雷、老虎队、美国队……),但在这里,两支球队的差距很大,美洲狮在墨西哥并不是顶级球队。他们周末要打一场联赛,对手是领头羊Pachuca,教练Lillini安排了几名常规球员和一个相当强大的阵容。

他们最有价值的球员和最重要的防守球员阿兰·蒙佐(RB)由于受伤将不会参加这场比赛。

前一场比赛以2:2结束,彪马凭借主场惊人的支持和客场糟糕的表现领先2:0。我们已经在这次比赛中看到:墨西哥队在主场表现很好,而美国职业足球大联盟的球队表现很差。但我们也看到了相反的情况:墨西哥队在客场对阵美国职业足球大联盟的球队时表现得很挣扎。

比赛将在西雅图的卢蒙球场举行。对西雅图的支持是巨大的,而且最重要的是:这块草坪是坚固的,彪马必须适应这一点。正如阿图罗·奥尔蒂斯等球员所说:“我们需要尽快适应场地、球的影响和弹跳。”

西雅图有很好的主场优势,这是一支更好的球队,所以对我来说,他们是赢得这场比赛和冠军的热门球队。

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