A very good bet for the Bundesliga!
2022-05-02

Borja

外籍分析师

德甲

05/03 02:30

已完赛

解读理由:

Big difference in quality and motivation here.

Bayer Leverkusen is fighting for the Champions League spot, which is very difficult this year. They are 3rd with Freiburg 4th with the same points (one more game played), RB Leipzig one point below (same amount of games played , Koln 3 points below (one more game played) and Union Berlin 4 points below (one more game played).

With only 3 matches remaining to play, and having the most important one in the last round against Freiburg, it’s very important to win the two games they have against Eintracht and Hoffenheim, both with nothing on play.

Their season has been fantastic, with a great attack (72 goals scored, best numbers after Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund). At home against middle table or relegation teams they made great performances recently (3:0 vs Arminia, 4:2 vs Stuttgart, 5:1 vs Augsburg, 7:1 vs Furth…) and only struggled in the games just before or after the Europa League fixtures or against top teams like RB Leipzig. But now they dont have UEL anymore so can be 100% focused on the Bundesliga and achieve the TOP4.

On the other hand, Eintracht is the main reason for this pick. A very average season in Bundesliga, but amazing in Europa League. This midweek they have a very important game against West Ham, with high chances to qualify to the final. That’s why they will rotate almost the whole lineup here, because in the league they are in a zone without any target mathematically.

The Bundesliga season is over for them, and the game in London last Thursday was very difficult (they won 1:2), while the next game at home is the most important for the club in many years.

In the league we are seeing how weak their performances are because they are focused in the Europa League: just 2 wins in the last 10 games, and making many rotations.

And that’s the main problem of Eintracht: their weak bench. The difference between reserves and starters are huge in terms of quality.

H2H shows a big advantage for Leverkusen at home against Eintracht: 3:1, 4:1, 4:0, 6:1, 4:1, 3:0 and 3:0. And just a note: the 6:1 victory came in 2018 just when Eintracht had a semifinal in Europa vs Chelsea; in similar circumstances to today.

Big difference in motivation and quality, this should be an easy game for Leverkusen.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在质量和动机上有很大的差异。

勒沃库森正在为冠军联赛的席位而战,这在今年是非常困难的。他们排名第三,弗莱堡排名第四,得分相同(多打一场),莱比锡队排名第四(多打一场),科隆队排名第三(多打一场),柏林联队排名第四(多打一场)。

现在只剩下3场比赛了,而最重要的一场比赛是在最后一轮对阵弗莱堡的比赛中,赢得对埃因赫特和霍芬海姆的两场比赛是非常重要的,这两场比赛都没有比赛。

他们的这个赛季非常棒,有一个伟大的进攻(72个进球,是继拜仁慕尼黑和多特蒙德之后最好的数字)。在主场对阵中档或降级球队时,他们最近表现出色(3:0对阿米尼亚,4:2对斯图加特,5:1对奥格斯堡,7:1对弗斯……),只是在欧罗巴联赛前后或对阵莱比锡这样的顶级球队时表现不佳。但是现在他们已经没有UEL了,所以他们可以100%的专注于德甲,并进入前四。

另一方面,Eintracht是这个选择的主要原因。这赛季在德甲表现平平,但在欧罗巴联赛表现惊人。本周中,他们有一场非常重要的比赛对阵西汉姆,晋级决赛的机会很大。这就是为什么他们会轮换整个阵容,因为在联盟中他们处于一个没有任何目标的区域。

对他们来说,德甲赛季已经结束,上周四在伦敦的比赛非常艰难(他们以1:2获胜),而下一场主场比赛将是俱乐部多年来最重要的比赛。

在联赛中,我们看到了他们的表现有多弱,因为他们专注于欧罗巴联赛:过去10场比赛只赢了2场,而且轮换制很多。

这就是Eintracht的主要问题:他们的板凳很弱。替补和首发在质量上有很大的区别。

H2H为勒沃库森在主场对阵埃特赫特展现了巨大的优势:3:1,4:1,4:0,6:1,4:1,3:0和3:0。注:这场6:1的胜利发生在2018年,当时埃因特赫特在欧罗巴半决赛对阵切尔西;和今天的情况类似。

在动力和质量上有很大的差别,这对勒沃库森来说应该是一场轻松的比赛。

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