In my opinion Lazio have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Lazio have really good streak at home against Milan as they didn't lost in 6 of last 7 home matches against them in all competitions. In previous season Lazio recorded comfortable 3:0 win at home against Milan in Serie A.

Lazio coming to this game with best possible line up, on the other hand Milan is without two key players today - defender Florenzi and midfielder Bennacer.

For sure Lazio motivation to win today's match is on the highest possible level. They are involved in fight to secure place in European Cups for next season. Lazio coming here in good mood - 7 points in last 3 rounds. They failed to win in last round at home against Torino (1:1), but that was good performance in terms of fighting spirit - Lazio scored equaliser in additional time. Milan coming to this game in totally different mood because in the midweek they lost 0:3 against Inter in Cup in very bad style.. For sure they not coming here full of confidence.

Both teams are high quality at the back, but I see big advantage for Lazio upfront because they have superb striker. Milan the best striker in current season is Leao - he scored 9 goals (expected goals scored only: 6.92). How to compare that with Ciro Immobile 25 goals for Lazio? Huge difference.

In addition to that Lazio are very strong finishers - they scored 25 goals in last 30 minutes of matches (they are the best team in whole league in that department). That could be problematic for Milan as they conceded 4 of last 6 goals in Serie A in last 30 minutes of play.

All in all, I see that excellent chances for Lazio to avoid loss here.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

在我看来，拉齐奥有很好的机会在今天的比赛中取得至少一分。

拉齐奥在主场对米兰的表现很好，过去7场主场对米兰的比赛中有6场都没有输。上个赛季，拉齐奥在意甲主场3:0轻松战胜米兰。

拉齐奥带着最好的阵容来参加这场比赛，另一方面米兰今天缺少了两名关键球员——后卫弗洛伦齐和中场本纳塞。

可以肯定的是，拉齐奥赢得今天比赛的动机是最高的。他们正在为确保下赛季欧洲杯的席位而战斗。拉齐奥带着良好的心情来到这里——在最后3轮中得到7分。他们未能在上一轮主场1:1战胜都灵，但就战斗精神而言，这是很好的表现——拉齐奥在加时赛中扳平比分。米兰带着完全不同的心情来参加这场比赛，因为周中他们在杯赛中0:3输给了国际米兰。他们肯定不是满怀信心来这里的。

两支球队的后防线都很好，但我认为拉齐奥的前场优势很大，因为他们有出色的前锋。米兰本赛季最好的前锋是里奥，他打进了9个球(预期进球只有6.92个)。这和西罗为拉齐奥打进的25球有什么区别?巨大的差异。

除此之外，拉齐奥是非常强大的终结者——他们在比赛的最后30分钟进了25个球(他们是整个联盟在这方面最好的球队)。这对米兰来说可能是个问题，因为他们在意甲联赛的最后30分钟丢了6个球中的4个。

总而言之，我认为这是拉齐奥避免损失的绝佳机会。