Very strong reasons for my bet
2022-04-21

Przem

外籍分析师

瑞超

04/22 01:00

已完赛

代格福什
1:0
哈马比
解读理由:

In my opinion Hammarby is clear favorite of today's match up and they shouldn't have too big problems to make win today.

Hammarby have excellent record against Degerfors as they won 9 of last 10 matches against them. Hammarby won last 5 consecutive matches at this stadium - 4:1 in previous season so they have very good mental advantage.

Hammarby looks fantastic so far - they won all 3 matches and scored 9 goals in the process. In those matches they conceded 2 goals and that is deserved result. According to the expected goals conceded model they should concede 2.40. They coming for this game without any new abscences so their line up should look exactly the same like in previous round.

Degerfors started new season in the worst possible style. Three losses in first three matches with very poor 2:7 goals balance and that is deserved result. According to the expected goals conceded model they should concede 7.50. For me their poor start is not big surprise - in pre season they lost Victor Edvardsen, in previous season he was team best scorer and best assistant, that's why they have problems with goals. On the other hand I see today huge problems for Degerfors at the back, their defensive formation is completely depleted. Hosts today without 4 defenders: Granath (2 matches), Kralj (2 matches), Orqvist (3 matches) and Mukiibi (3 matches).

I see at least 2 goals for Hammarby in this game and that should be enough to make comfortable win.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,哈马比显然是今天比赛中最受欢迎的球员,他们今天应该不会有太大的问题来赢得比赛。

哈马比在对阵德格福斯的比赛中有很好的记录,他们在过去的10场比赛中赢了9场。哈马比在这个球场连续赢了5场比赛,上个赛季的比分是4:1,所以他们有很好的心理优势。

到目前为止,哈马比看起来棒极了——他们赢得了全部3场比赛,并打进了9个球。在那些比赛中他们丢了2个球,这是应得的结果。根据预期失球的模式,他们应该失球2.40个。他们在这场比赛中没有任何新的缺阵,所以他们的阵容看起来应该和前一轮完全一样。

德格福斯以最糟糕的方式开始了新赛季。前三场比赛输了三场,2:7的比分很差,这是应得的结果。根据预期的失球模式,他们应该失球7.50。对我来说,他们糟糕的开局并不令人惊讶——在季前赛中他们失去了维克托·埃德瓦尔森,在上个赛季他是球队的最佳射手和最佳助理,这就是为什么他们在进球方面有问题。另一方面,我也看到了德格福斯在后防线上的巨大问题,他们的防守阵型完全被削弱了。东道主今天没有4名后卫:格拉纳特(2场),克拉尔杰(2场),奥奎斯特(3场)和穆基比(3场)。

我看到哈马比在这场比赛中至少进了两个球,这应该足以轻松取胜。

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