Important info here. Villarreal asian handicap -1 or -1.25 is my bet here.

Villarreal still have chances to qualify to Europe via La Liga after the important vaway victory on the weekend over Getafe. They are just 6 points below Real Sociedad, and of course will try to take them.

They are a great local team, the 4th best of the league, with only 2 defeats in 16 games and 36 goals scored (the team with the higher amount of goals scored at home).

For this match they will miss topscorer and key striker Gerard Moreno, but the coach announced a strong lineup and according to the latest news, we will see almost the best one, just without Gerard Moreno.

On the other hand, Valencia is the main reason for this pick. They are thinking on the Cup final they have just in 4 days against Betis, a very important game as they have a real chance to win a title. In La Liga they are in the middle of the table without any target, so the lack of motivation is obvious.

Furthermore, coach Bordalas confirmed rotations. Some key players aren’t at 100% and he said that they won't take any risks: they won't play. Lato, Paulita, Guedes, Yunus Musah, Foulquier… Also 6 players from B team have been called for today and some of them will be starters.

It’s obvious that the team and the players are focused on the final on the weekend, they don't care about this match. Just want to avoid injuries and be ready for the game against Betis next Saturday.

Villarreal has a much better team and the most important: more motivation to win here. For Valencia this will surely be their less competitive and important game of the season, and that’s why I think we will see their worst version. If Villarreal plays at 100%, they should be able to beat them easily.

Straight win is safer, but I bet on the -1.5 handicap trying to get better odds as I really think it's worth it.