What will happen at Madejski stadium? 英冠 雷丁vs伯恩茅斯
2021-01-29

Przem

外籍分析师

英冠

01/30 04:00

已完赛

解读理由:

In my opinion Reading have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

2 months ago, in first match of the season both teams played each other for the first time in 4 years. Reading for sure was disappointed about final result - they leaded 2:0 after half time. In second half level of concentration dropped a lot and Bournemouth gained momentum and won 4:2. On the paper looks like comfortable win, but that wasn't at all - Reading finished with only 1 shot less. Reading deserved for at least one point - expected goals scored for Reading: 1.65, for Bournemouth: 1.54. In overall Reading have really solid record at home against Bournemouth - they went unbeaten in 40 of last 53 home matches against them.

For me is very hard to see Reading as a underdog in this game. They are on 5th place, one position above Bournemouth with 2 points more.

Reading have big advantage in fitness department, they played only 4 matches in 2021. Last game 5 days ago, on away against Preston. Reading coming for today's game with almost best possible line up. Two key players - right winger Meite (6 goals and 1 assist in 12 matches) and right defender Yiadom back to the squad. On the other hand this is 7th match in 2021 for Bournemouth. Last match they played 3 days ago at home in FA Cup. Freshness for sure is on the Reading side. Bournemouth is still without their key left winger Stanislas. This is big blow for the team as he was involved in 10 of 38 Bournemouth goals in current season, he scored 7 goals and made 3 assists in 18 matches. He was involved in 3 of last 4 Bournemouth leagues goals (2 goals & 1 assist).

Reading is in better form than Bournemouth. They went unbeaten in last 5 Championship matches in a row. They looked solid in defense - 3 clean sheets in last 5 games. In last home match they outplayed Coventry - comfortable 3:0 win, expected goals scored for Reading: 2.21, for Coventry: 0.91. 5 days ago 0:0 on away against Preston, but they played better - expected goals scored for Reading: 1.36, for Preston: 0.65. In overall Reading is solid team at home - they lost only 35 of last 104 home league matches.

Bournemouth don't have good time at the moment - they won only one of last 6 Championship matches. Defensive formation don't have stability now - they conceded at least one goal in last 5 matches in a row. They failed to score in last two Championship matches - they lost 0:1 at home against Luton and in last round 0:1 on away against Derby from relegation zone. 3 days ago they played in FA Cup against Crawley Town from fourth league. What was surprising - Bournemouth manager Jason Tindall used his strongest team. Probably he wanted to make convincing win to get some momentum and confidence. Bournemouth won 2:1 at home, but unfortunately that wasn't good performance. Crawley Town is poor team and they came for that game with very depleted squad because of covid problems. Still they were able to score a goal against Bournemouth and avoid big loss, it's not positive sign. Bournemouth won only 20 of last 89 away league matches.

I believe Reading have really good chances to avoid loss. Reading is the only one team in league without draw in home match in current season, maybe today?

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,雷丁在今天的比赛中有很好的机会至少得一分。

2个月前,在本赛季的第一场比赛中,两支球队4年来首次交锋。雷丁当然对比赛结果很失望,他们在半场结束后以2:0领先。在下半场,伯恩茅斯队的注意力大大下降,并取得了4:2的胜利。从纸面上来看像是轻松的胜利,但那根本不是——雷丁仅少射了一次门。雷丁应该至少得一分——雷丁的预期进球为1.65,伯恩茅斯为1.54。总的来说,雷丁在主场对阵伯恩茅斯的比赛中取得了很好的成绩——他们在最近53场主场对阵伯恩茅斯的比赛中有40场保持不败。

对我来说,很难看到雷丁在这场比赛中处于劣势。他们排在第5位,比伯恩茅斯还高2分。

雷丁在健身方面有很大的优势,他们在2021年只踢了4场比赛。5天前的最后一场比赛,客场对阵普雷斯顿。雷丁带着最好的阵容来参加今天的比赛。两名关键球员——右边锋梅特(12场比赛6粒进球1次助攻)和右后卫叶亚东回到了阵容中。另一方面,这是伯恩茅斯2021年的第七场比赛。他们的最后一场比赛是三天前在足总杯的主场。新鲜当然是在阅读方面。伯恩茅斯仍然缺少他们关键的左边锋斯坦尼斯拉斯。这对球队来说是一个巨大的打击,因为本赛季他在伯恩茅斯的38个进球中有10个,他在18场比赛中打进7个球,3次助攻。伯恩茅斯联盟最近的4个进球中有3个是他贡献的(2球1助攻)。

雷丁比伯恩茅斯更好。他们在最近的5场锦标赛中保持不败。他们的防守看起来很稳固——在最近的5场比赛中3场不失球。在上一场主场比赛中,他们以3:0轻松击败了考文垂,雷丁和考文垂的预期进球分别为2.21和0.91。客场0:0对阵普雷斯顿,但是他们踢得更好——雷丁的预期进球:1.36,普雷斯顿:0.65。总的来说,雷丁是一支在主场很稳固的球队——他们在最近的104场主场比赛中只输了35场。

伯恩茅斯现在的日子不太好过——他们在过去的6场锦标赛中只赢了一场。防守阵型现在不稳定了——他们在最近5场比赛中至少丢了一个球。他们在最近的两场冠军联赛中都没有进球——他们在主场0:1输给了卢顿,在上一轮客场0:1输给了德比。三天前他们参加了足总杯对阵克劳利城的比赛。令人惊讶的是,伯恩茅斯主教练杰森·廷道尔使用了他最强大的队伍。也许他想要一场令人信服的胜利来获得一些动力和信心。伯恩茅斯主场2:1获胜,但不幸的是,这并不是一个好的表现。卡劳利镇是支糟糕的球队,因为新冠病毒的问题,他们来参加这场比赛的阵容非常疲惫。尽管如此,他们还是在对伯恩茅斯的比赛中打进了一球,避免了重大的损失,这并不是一个积极的迹象。伯恩茅斯在过去89场客场比赛中只赢了20场。

我相信雷丁真的有很好的机会来避免输球。雷丁是本赛季唯一一支在主场没有平局的球队,也许是今天?

观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。